About this course
We often make critical management decisions under uncertainty. Though susceptible to biases and heuristics, many clinicians rely on their experience and instincts to drive their clinical decision-making. Bayesian reasoning provides checks and balances to our heuristics and helps us align our intuition with evidence. However, many learners and even well-seasoned clinicians lack the knowledge necessary to apply Bayesian reasoning at the bedside.
This is a case-based problem-solving course. It is designed to provide detailed insight and understanding on how to formulate probability of disease, interpret new diagnostic information, and adjust the disease probability and management decisions accordingly.
The course is self-paced. It involves an introductory session and 10 clinical cases. You will get introduced to a patient case and will be asked to provide your insights regarding probability of the disease in question. Then, you will be presented a key diagnostic test result. You will use the new diagnostic information to update the disease probability and think about subsequent management decisions.
The expected time needed to complete all cases is about 6 hours.
The results of the initial faculty pilot was published by the Journal of Graduate Medical Education.
Citation: Baduashvili A, McBeth L, Baird A, Burden M. Understanding the Shades of Gray in Diagnosis-An Online Course in Bayesian Reasoning. J Grad Med Educ. 2022;14(3):349-350.
The manuscript can be accessed here
The lessons learned while developing educational content has also been published.
Baduashvili A, Fainstad B, Kudron E L (February 27, 2024) Considerations for Clinician-Educators Developing Online Educational Content: A Narrative Review. Cureus 16(2): e55048. doi:10.7759/cureus.55048
The manuscript can be accessed here
CME Statement
Release Date: July 15, 2025
Expiration Date: July 14, 2026
Estimated time to complete this activity is 7 hours
Partnership Statement
This activity is jointly provided by Your CE Source and the University of Colorado
Educational Objectives
After completing this activity, the participant should be better able to:
Discuss test characteristics (sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios)
Apply Bayes' theorem to modify patient's disease probability
Explain test characteristics such as receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC curves) and multi-level likelihood ratios.
Leverage ROC curves and multi-level likelihood ratios to appropriately adjust patient's disease probability and suggest appropriate management.
Apply decision accuracy and test characteristics to bedside decision-making.
Physician Accreditation Statement
This activity has been planned and implemented in accordance with the accreditation requirements and policies of the Accreditation Council for Continuing Medical Education (ACCME) through the joint providership of Your CE Source and the University of Colorado. Your CE Source is accredited by the ACCME to provide continuing medical education for physicians.
Your CE Source designates this enduring material for a maximum of 7 AMA PRA Category 1 Credits™. Physicians should claim only the credit commensurate with the extent of their participation in the activity.
Disclosure Statement
Your CE Source ensures balance, independence, objectivity, and scientific rigor in all our educational activities. In accordance with this policy, Your CE Source identifies relevant financial relationships with its instructors, planners, content managers, and other individuals who are in a position to control the content of an activity.
The following faculty, planner and/or content manager reported the following financial relationship with ineligible companies whose products or services may be mentioned in this CE activity:
All faculty, planner and/or content managers of have nothing to disclose nor do they have any vested interests or affiliations.
Disclaimer Statement
The content, views and opinions presented in this educational activity are those of the faculty/authors and do not necessarily reflect those of Your CE Source and/or the University of Colorado. The faculty/authors have disclosed if there is any discussion of published and/or investigational uses of agents that are not indicated by the FDA in their presentations. Before prescribing any medicine, primary references and full prescribing information should be consulted. Any procedures, medications, or other courses of diagnosis or treatment discussed or suggested in this activity should not be used by clinicians without evaluation of their patient’s conditions and possible contraindications on dangers in use, review of any applicable manufacturer’s product information, and comparison with recommendations of other authorities. The information presented in this activity is not meant to serve as a guideline for patient management.
Learners are required to adhere to the privacy and confidentiality policy as it relates to the CE activities provided on the Internet. Please see policy at https://www.yourcesource.org/index.cfm?do=cnt.page&pg=1029.
Questions about continuing education credit or certificates related to this course, please contact us via email at adminsupport@yourcesource.org.
Questions about the content, please contact Amiran Baduashvili via email at AMIRAN.BADUASHVILI@CUANSCHUTZ.EDU
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